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Red235
4909145.6
1965125.8
4761127.7
Blue315
6762112.3
133191.1
5459123.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290357100200400500600235315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.61.6
139.3141.0
Auto15.9
Teleop118.6
End14.8
blue by 45.5
133
#1
191.14.3
173.9178.2
Auto24.1
Teleop134.2
End32.3
Second
4761
#24
127.70.8
126.6127.3
Auto17.7
Teleop92.4
End16.9
red by 4.8
5459
#27
123.00.1
122.5122.6
Auto13.2
Teleop93.3
End19.6
Third
1965
#18
125.80.7
129.8129.1
Auto18.2
Teleop95.2
End13.2
red by 13.5
6762
#38
112.30.2
115.5115.2
Auto16.2
Teleop85.8
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed