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Red456
238205.8
1474115.2
5122105.9
Blue91
246134.3
5752109.2
6324121.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34827210020030040050060045691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#2
205.81.9
196.3198.2
Auto26.0
Teleop151.1
End29.8
red by 71.5
246
#12
134.33.5
128.9132.4
Auto17.7
Teleop100.5
End16.3
Second
1474
#22
115.22.1
108.3110.4
Auto17.3
Teleop83.4
End15.8
blue by 6.3
6324
#16
121.51.5
119.5121.0
Auto23.2
Teleop92.3
End6.2
Third
5122
#35
105.90.5
102.0102.5
Auto15.6
Teleop79.7
End13.0
blue by 3.3
5752
#36
109.20.1
110.4110.3
Auto15.1
Teleop88.2
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed