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Red124
1761103.6
2713131.8
1474115.2
Blue390
4905155.8
811143.6
2423111.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266367100200300400500600124390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#25
131.80.7
131.1131.8
Auto18.2
Teleop97.9
End16.1
blue by 24.0
155.81.3
152.4153.8
Auto19.7
Teleop102.8
End33.1
Second
1474
#22
115.22.0
112.8114.8
Auto17.3
Teleop83.4
End15.8
blue by 28.4
811
#14
143.60.3
143.2142.9
Auto22.2
Teleop106.9
End14.3
Third
1761
#40
103.60.4
104.0103.6
Auto15.6
Teleop82.5
End2.8
blue by 7.9
2423
#29
111.51.4
110.2111.5
Auto12.8
Teleop88.9
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsMissed