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Red451
246134.3
319190.1
3467141.4
Blue315
5556108.0
5459123.0
4906131.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404221100300500600700451315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#4
190.11.8
185.1186.9
Auto22.5
Teleop137.8
End29.7
red by 59.1
4906
#19
131.00.7
131.5130.8
Auto15.5
Teleop100.7
End14.7
Second
141.40.7
142.5141.8
Auto20.0
Teleop114.0
End5.9
red by 18.4
5459
#27
123.00.3
122.7123.0
Auto13.2
Teleop93.3
End19.6
Third
246
#12
134.30.9
132.9133.8
Auto17.7
Teleop100.5
End16.3
red by 26.2
5556
#37
108.00.3
108.4108.0
Auto16.7
Teleop78.7
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed