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Red450
78167.1
1519153.8
3466113.1
Blue295
213134.5
5735143.5
467120.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354307200400500600450295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#8
167.10.9
161.7162.6
Auto22.7
Teleop119.3
End27.3
red by 23.6
5735
#13
143.50.6
142.8143.5
Auto20.9
Teleop107.2
End19.1
Second
153.80.4
150.9151.3
Auto20.2
Teleop114.9
End20.0
red by 19.3
213
#18
134.50.2
134.3134.5
Auto18.6
Teleop98.2
End20.8
Third
3466
#24
113.10.4
110.5110.8
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End10.4
blue by 7.6
467
#19
120.60.4
120.2120.6
Auto18.8
Teleop97.3
End8.0