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Red280
78167.1
1519153.8
3466113.1
Blue378
6329144.8
663158.0
3555146.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299368100200400500600280378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#8
167.11.0
162.6163.6
Auto22.7
Teleop119.3
End27.3
red by 9.1
663
#4
158.00.7
155.9156.6
Auto17.9
Teleop119.6
End21.1
Second
153.80.5
151.3151.8
Auto20.2
Teleop114.9
End20.0
red by 7.2
3555
#15
146.60.4
145.3145.7
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End23.5
Third
3466
#24
113.10.5
110.8111.3
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End10.4
blue by 31.7
144.80.4
143.5143.9
Auto21.6
Teleop108.0
End15.8