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Red130
1729124.9
2370155.1
172122.9
Blue414
3236139.3
1100132.8
3719114.1
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327265100200300400500600130414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.10.2
155.0155.1
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.0
red by 15.8
3236
#16
139.30.5
136.9137.4
Auto18.5
Teleop103.4
End21.2
Second
124.90.4
124.2124.6
Auto16.7
Teleop103.7
End4.1
blue by 7.9
1100
#11
132.80.2
131.4131.6
Auto18.6
Teleop104.1
End11.9
Third
172
#30
122.90.1
122.8122.9
Auto16.2
Teleop93.9
End12.2
red by 8.8
3719
#36
114.10.5
115.2114.7
Auto14.6
Teleop88.0
End13.3