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Red306
1729124.9
2370155.1
172122.9
Blue401
3236139.3
1100132.8
3719114.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314277100200400500600306401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.10.0
155.1155.1
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.0
red by 15.8
3236
#16
139.30.6
137.4138.0
Auto18.5
Teleop103.4
End21.2
Second
124.90.3
124.6124.9
Auto16.7
Teleop103.7
End4.1
blue by 7.9
1100
#11
132.80.3
131.6131.9
Auto18.6
Teleop104.1
End11.9
Third
172
#30
122.90.0
122.9122.9
Auto16.2
Teleop93.9
End12.2
red by 8.8
3719
#36
114.10.3
114.7114.4
Auto14.6
Teleop88.0
End13.3