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Red376
2370155.1
4905130.8
1768119.9
Blue174
7259111.7
23136.5
3466113.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33123304006008001,0001,200376174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.18.9
104.0113.0
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.0
red by 18.6
23
#17
136.514.6
77.792.3
Auto16.0
Teleop103.6
End17.7
Second
4905
#10
130.82.3
122.6125.0
Auto18.5
Teleop90.4
End26.7
red by 17.8
3466
#24
113.15.6
92.498.0
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End10.4
Third
1768
#22
119.94.6
122.0126.7
Auto16.8
Teleop92.1
End10.7
red by 8.2
7259
#37
111.711.8
77.789.6
Auto17.4
Teleop84.7
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed