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Red242
4987115.1
278596.9
1729124.9
Blue310
1153137.4
1519153.8
6723109.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2082990100400500600700242310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
124.91.0
107.4106.3
Auto16.7
Teleop103.7
End4.1
blue by 29.0
153.83.0
127.2130.2
Auto20.2
Teleop114.9
End20.0
Second
4987
#31
115.19.8
84.794.5
Auto19.9
Teleop89.6
End7.7
blue by 22.3
1153
#12
137.41.3
126.0127.3
Auto16.7
Teleop104.6
End18.5
Third
2785
#41
96.97.8
89.497.2
Auto15.6
Teleop69.2
End7.9
blue by 12.7
6723
#40
109.69.7
87.797.4
Auto14.2
Teleop82.3
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed