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Red454
88154.3
61163.2
3566123.6
Blue156
4042107.9
467120.6
213134.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29727702004006008001,0001,200454156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#7
163.214.1
92.6106.7
Auto21.8
Teleop116.8
End25.7
red by 28.7
213
#18
134.59.0
107.6116.6
Auto18.6
Teleop98.2
End20.8
Second
88
#3
154.37.7
105.9113.6
Auto21.3
Teleop120.3
End14.1
red by 33.6
467
#19
120.68.5
99.9108.4
Auto18.8
Teleop97.3
End8.0
Third
3566
#32
123.610.8
89.4100.2
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End1.9
red by 15.7
4042
#26
107.911.6
80.792.2
Auto16.6
Teleop85.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed