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Red380
1831130.6
4564175.2
716126.0
Blue107
5735143.5
1768119.9
1991115.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2973140100200400500600700800380107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.211.8
113.6125.5
Auto24.4
Teleop129.8
End21.9
red by 31.7
5735
#13
143.513.9
93.6107.5
Auto20.9
Teleop107.2
End19.1
Second
1831
#33
130.610.2
97.4107.6
Auto15.2
Teleop99.9
End14.8
red by 10.7
1768
#22
119.912.2
109.8122.0
Auto16.8
Teleop92.1
End10.7
Third
716
#23
126.015.3
81.396.5
Auto18.1
Teleop96.1
End12.1
red by 11.0
1991
#25
115.014.2
91.3105.4
Auto15.9
Teleop90.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed