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Red392
3555146.6
3236139.3
3719114.1
Blue119
278596.9
78167.1
2262117.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2572980200400600800392119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3555
#15
146.618.0
57.375.2
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End23.5
blue by 20.4
78
#8
167.13.3
124.7128.0
Auto22.7
Teleop119.3
End27.3
Second
3236
#16
139.31.3
108.5109.8
Auto18.5
Teleop103.4
End21.2
red by 21.8
2262
#14
117.515.4
79.995.3
Auto16.2
Teleop92.1
End9.3
Third
3719
#36
114.114.5
88.6103.0
Auto14.6
Teleop88.0
End13.3
red by 17.2
2785
#41
96.916.1
73.389.4
Auto15.6
Teleop69.2
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed