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Red213
4905130.8
7259111.7
3566123.6
Blue266
6723109.6
126124.7
172122.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25332402004006008001,000213266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4905
#10
130.83.3
119.3122.6
Auto18.5
Teleop90.4
End26.7
red by 6.2
126
#27
124.713.5
97.9111.3
Auto16.9
Teleop94.7
End16.6
Second
3566
#32
123.616.1
73.289.4
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End1.9
red by 0.7
172
#30
122.913.3
99.3112.6
Auto16.2
Teleop93.9
End12.2
Third
7259
#37
111.724.7
102.577.7
Auto17.4
Teleop84.7
End10.7
red by 2.1
6723
#40
109.616.4
71.387.7
Auto14.2
Teleop82.3
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed