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Red250
716126.0
1100132.8
126124.7
Blue368
3555146.6
1350128.3
78167.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32026502004006008001,0001,200250368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#11
132.812.6
102.3114.9
Auto18.6
Teleop104.1
End11.9
blue by 34.3
78
#8
167.10.9
128.0127.1
Auto22.7
Teleop119.3
End27.3
Second
716
#23
126.011.7
96.5108.2
Auto18.1
Teleop96.1
End12.1
blue by 20.6
3555
#15
146.615.6
75.290.9
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End23.5
Third
126
#27
124.77.8
111.3119.2
Auto16.9
Teleop94.7
End16.6
blue by 3.6
1350
#29
128.313.9
95.3109.1
Auto16.2
Teleop95.1
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed