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Red375
3623135.1
6329144.8
4564175.2
Blue10
5491103.3
1277102.2
5494128.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34022604006008001,00037510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.29.5
125.5135.0
Auto24.4
Teleop129.8
End21.9
red by 47.2
5494
#20
128.014.5
78.593.0
Auto13.6
Teleop101.8
End15.1
Second
144.88.1
106.0114.1
Auto21.6
Teleop108.0
End15.8
red by 41.5
5491
#35
103.38.6
95.4104.0
Auto13.2
Teleop78.7
End14.6
Third
3623
#21
135.18.0
102.0110.1
Auto15.3
Teleop105.2
End16.5
red by 33.0
1277
#38
102.25.4
94.399.7
Auto13.3
Teleop80.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed