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Red211
3623135.1
6723109.6
78167.1
Blue290
3466113.1
663158.0
4564175.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663070100200400500600211290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#8
167.12.6
131.6134.2
Auto22.7
Teleop119.3
End27.3
blue by 8.1
175.27.1
150.5157.6
Auto24.4
Teleop129.8
End21.9
Second
3623
#21
135.16.7
117.5124.2
Auto15.3
Teleop105.2
End16.5
blue by 22.9
663
#4
158.04.9
122.7127.6
Auto17.9
Teleop119.6
End21.1
Third
6723
#40
109.62.2
107.4109.6
Auto14.2
Teleop82.3
End16.4
blue by 3.5
3466
#24
113.10.8
100.599.7
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed