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Red182
4905130.8
4987115.1
88154.3
Blue288
1786108.1
6329144.8
3555146.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268287150200250350400450182288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#3
154.31.2
126.2127.4
Auto21.3
Teleop120.3
End14.1
red by 7.6
3555
#15
146.67.8
112.9120.7
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End23.5
Second
4905
#10
130.82.1
128.5126.5
Auto18.5
Teleop90.4
End26.7
blue by 14.0
144.83.2
125.3128.6
Auto21.6
Teleop108.0
End15.8
Third
4987
#31
115.13.1
108.1111.2
Auto19.9
Teleop89.6
End7.7
red by 6.9
1786
#39
108.14.0
97.0101.0
Auto15.7
Teleop88.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed