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Red231
278596.9
4905130.8
6329144.8
Blue310
4564175.2
3566123.6
2262117.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236342100200300400500600231310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.83.2
128.6131.8
Auto21.6
Teleop108.0
End15.8
blue by 30.3
175.25.7
157.6163.3
Auto24.4
Teleop129.8
End21.9
Second
4905
#10
130.82.4
126.5124.1
Auto18.5
Teleop90.4
End26.7
red by 7.2
3566
#32
123.62.7
122.6125.3
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End1.9
Third
2785
#41
96.90.7
105.5106.2
Auto15.6
Teleop69.2
End7.9
blue by 20.6
2262
#14
117.51.5
113.2111.6
Auto16.2
Teleop92.1
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed