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Red130
172122.9
1153137.4
5735143.5
Blue407
78167.1
88154.3
663158.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266312100200400500130407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5735
#13
143.51.5
125.6127.1
Auto20.9
Teleop107.2
End19.1
blue by 23.6
78
#8
167.12.5
134.2136.6
Auto22.7
Teleop119.3
End27.3
Second
1153
#12
137.41.5
131.2132.7
Auto16.7
Teleop104.6
End18.5
blue by 20.6
663
#4
158.04.2
127.6131.8
Auto17.9
Teleop119.6
End21.1
Third
172
#30
122.92.2
120.7123.0
Auto16.2
Teleop93.9
End12.2
blue by 31.4
88
#3
154.30.5
127.4126.9
Auto21.3
Teleop120.3
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed