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Red399
61163.2
1831130.6
23136.5
Blue158
3566123.6
5494128.0
278596.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363246100200300400500600399158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#7
163.24.1
145.2149.2
Auto21.8
Teleop116.8
End25.7
red by 35.2
5494
#20
128.05.0
117.4122.5
Auto13.6
Teleop101.8
End15.1
Second
23
#17
136.54.5
123.1127.6
Auto16.0
Teleop103.6
End17.7
red by 12.9
3566
#32
123.60.3
128.2128.5
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End1.9
Third
1831
#33
130.60.0
126.3126.3
Auto15.2
Teleop99.9
End14.8
red by 33.7
2785
#41
96.91.7
105.1103.4
Auto15.6
Teleop69.2
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed