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Red250
1786108.1
1153137.4
7164128.5
Blue369
7259111.7
5735143.5
3623135.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282299100200400500600250369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
137.41.1
133.5134.6
Auto16.7
Teleop104.6
End18.5
blue by 6.1
5735
#13
143.52.8
130.6133.4
Auto20.9
Teleop107.2
End19.1
Second
7164
#28
128.52.2
123.2125.3
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End16.9
blue by 6.6
3623
#21
135.12.7
139.6136.9
Auto15.3
Teleop105.2
End16.5
Third
1786
#39
108.10.3
108.8109.1
Auto15.7
Teleop88.8
End3.5
blue by 3.5
7259
#37
111.71.3
106.5107.8
Auto17.4
Teleop84.7
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed