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Red209
172122.9
4564175.2
1277102.2
Blue373
3555146.6
4048133.7
1100132.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3193000100200400500600209373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.21.5
171.7173.2
Auto24.4
Teleop129.8
End21.9
red by 28.5
3555
#15
146.63.0
136.5139.5
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End23.5
Second
172
#30
122.90.5
123.1122.6
Auto16.2
Teleop93.9
End12.2
blue by 10.8
4048
#34
133.71.3
130.0131.4
Auto16.7
Teleop98.3
End16.1
Third
1277
#38
102.20.6
103.0103.7
Auto13.3
Teleop80.0
End10.1
blue by 30.6
1100
#11
132.83.1
136.2133.1
Auto18.6
Teleop104.1
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed