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Red250
3623135.1
3466113.1
1153137.4
Blue410
1991115.0
172122.9
61163.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3032880100200400500600700250410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
137.41.0
134.6135.6
Auto16.7
Teleop104.6
End18.5
blue by 25.9
61
#7
163.23.8
149.2153.1
Auto21.8
Teleop116.8
End25.7
Second
3623
#21
135.10.0
136.9136.8
Auto15.3
Teleop105.2
End16.5
red by 12.2
172
#30
122.91.4
122.6121.2
Auto16.2
Teleop93.9
End12.2
Third
3466
#24
113.13.2
103.6106.8
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End10.4
blue by 2.0
1991
#25
115.05.1
122.5117.4
Auto15.9
Teleop90.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed