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Red118
3566123.6
213134.5
5491103.3
Blue374
1729124.9
3555146.6
4564175.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223394100300500600118374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
#18
134.51.7
131.6133.3
Auto18.6
Teleop98.2
End20.8
blue by 40.6
175.20.1
173.2173.1
Auto24.4
Teleop129.8
End21.9
Second
3566
#32
123.61.1
128.5127.4
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End1.9
blue by 23.0
3555
#15
146.62.6
139.5142.0
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End23.5
Third
5491
#35
103.31.2
101.9103.1
Auto13.2
Teleop78.7
End14.6
blue by 21.6
124.93.8
114.4118.1
Auto16.7
Teleop103.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed