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Red224
4048133.7
2262117.5
4987115.1
Blue421
3236139.3
1519153.8
1831130.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248346100200300400500224421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#34
133.71.4
131.4132.8
Auto16.7
Teleop98.3
End16.1
blue by 20.1
153.81.6
145.0146.7
Auto20.2
Teleop114.9
End20.0
Second
2262
#14
117.51.0
114.0115.0
Auto16.2
Teleop92.1
End9.3
blue by 21.8
3236
#16
139.30.3
134.8135.0
Auto18.5
Teleop103.4
End21.2
Third
4987
#31
115.11.4
111.7113.1
Auto19.9
Teleop89.6
End7.7
blue by 15.6
1831
#33
130.61.2
126.3127.5
Auto15.2
Teleop99.9
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed