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Red178
3466113.1
6723109.6
5735143.5
Blue388
6329144.8
23136.5
213134.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251353100200300400500600178388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5735
#13
143.53.2
137.0140.2
Auto20.9
Teleop107.2
End19.1
blue by 1.3
144.81.1
140.3141.4
Auto21.6
Teleop108.0
End15.8
Second
3466
#24
113.12.0
106.8108.8
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End10.4
blue by 23.4
23
#17
136.52.0
131.7133.7
Auto16.0
Teleop103.6
End17.7
Third
6723
#40
109.60.8
111.1110.2
Auto14.2
Teleop82.3
End16.4
blue by 24.9
213
#18
134.50.2
133.3133.6
Auto18.6
Teleop98.2
End20.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed