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Red341
1277102.2
1153137.4
78167.1
Blue243
7164128.5
3719114.1
4905130.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343285100200400500600341243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#8
167.14.0
153.2157.2
Auto22.7
Teleop119.3
End27.3
red by 36.2
4905
#10
130.81.9
126.1128.0
Auto18.5
Teleop90.4
End26.7
Second
1153
#12
137.40.7
135.6136.3
Auto16.7
Teleop104.6
End18.5
red by 8.8
7164
#28
128.50.7
127.1127.8
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End16.9
Third
1277
#38
102.20.8
103.1102.3
Auto13.3
Teleop80.0
End10.1
blue by 11.9
3719
#36
114.12.6
119.3116.7
Auto14.6
Teleop88.0
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned