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Red237
278596.9
2370155.1
4048133.7
Blue243
1991115.0
5491103.3
716126.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3342500100200300400500600237243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.11.3
153.4154.7
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.0
red by 29.1
716
#23
126.01.2
123.1124.3
Auto18.1
Teleop96.1
End12.1
Second
4048
#34
133.70.9
132.8133.7
Auto16.7
Teleop98.3
End16.1
red by 18.7
1991
#25
115.01.6
117.4115.8
Auto15.9
Teleop90.2
End8.3
Third
2785
#41
96.92.0
101.098.9
Auto15.6
Teleop69.2
End7.9
blue by 6.4
5491
#35
103.30.1
103.1103.0
Auto13.2
Teleop78.7
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed