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Red106
1350128.3
1786108.1
3623135.1
Blue361
2262117.5
467120.6
1100132.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281277150200250300350106361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3623
#21
135.10.2
136.8136.7
Auto15.3
Teleop105.2
End16.5
red by 2.3
1100
#11
132.81.0
131.6130.7
Auto18.6
Teleop104.1
End11.9
Second
1350
#29
128.31.6
131.8130.2
Auto16.2
Teleop95.1
End14.1
red by 7.7
467
#19
120.60.4
117.7118.2
Auto18.8
Teleop97.3
End8.0
Third
1786
#39
108.10.4
109.6109.3
Auto15.7
Teleop88.8
End3.5
blue by 9.3
2262
#14
117.50.6
115.0115.7
Auto16.2
Teleop92.1
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed