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Red162
3566123.6
7164128.5
4042107.9
Blue352
5491103.3
4048133.7
3236139.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623200100200400500162352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7164
#28
128.50.7
127.8128.5
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End16.9
blue by 10.7
3236
#16
139.30.8
136.1136.9
Auto18.5
Teleop103.4
End21.2
Second
3566
#32
123.61.8
127.4125.7
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End1.9
blue by 10.1
4048
#34
133.70.0
133.7133.7
Auto16.7
Teleop98.3
End16.1
Third
4042
#26
107.90.5
107.3107.9
Auto16.6
Teleop85.6
End4.2
red by 4.6
5491
#35
103.30.3
103.0103.3
Auto13.2
Teleop78.7
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed