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Red421
5735143.5
88154.3
3555146.6
Blue233
5494128.0
2370155.1
6723109.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372248100200300500600421233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#3
154.32.7
146.7149.4
Auto21.3
Teleop120.3
End14.1
blue by 0.8
155.10.3
154.7155.0
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.0
Second
3555
#15
146.60.7
143.8144.6
Auto16.0
Teleop109.0
End23.5
red by 18.6
5494
#20
128.01.2
126.8128.0
Auto13.6
Teleop101.8
End15.1
Third
5735
#13
143.52.0
140.2142.2
Auto20.9
Teleop107.2
End19.1
red by 33.9
6723
#40
109.60.7
110.2109.6
Auto14.2
Teleop82.3
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed