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Red145
1729124.9
1831130.6
1350128.3
Blue435
4905130.8
4564175.2
61163.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248405100200300500600700145435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1831
#33
130.61.0
129.6130.6
Auto15.2
Teleop99.9
End14.8
blue by 44.5
175.20.3
173.2173.5
Auto24.4
Teleop129.8
End21.9
Second
1350
#29
128.31.9
130.2128.3
Auto16.2
Teleop95.1
End14.1
blue by 34.9
61
#7
163.23.7
157.6161.3
Auto21.8
Teleop116.8
End25.7
Third
124.93.0
121.2124.2
Auto16.7
Teleop103.7
End4.1
blue by 6.0
4905
#10
130.81.7
128.0129.7
Auto18.5
Teleop90.4
End26.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed