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Red307
78167.1
716126.0
172122.9
Blue315
1519153.8
3623135.1
23136.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305346200400500307315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#8
167.13.6
157.2160.8
Auto22.7
Teleop119.3
End27.3
red by 13.2
153.81.6
148.8150.4
Auto20.2
Teleop114.9
End20.0
Second
716
#23
126.01.2
124.3125.5
Auto18.1
Teleop96.1
End12.1
blue by 10.4
23
#17
136.51.9
133.7135.6
Auto16.0
Teleop103.6
End17.7
Third
172
#30
122.90.6
122.1122.8
Auto16.2
Teleop93.9
End12.2
blue by 12.2
3623
#21
135.11.0
136.7135.6
Auto15.3
Teleop105.2
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed