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Red215
2262117.5
3719114.1
1153137.4
Blue187
1768119.9
3566123.6
1786108.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082430100200400500215187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
137.40.9
136.3137.2
Auto16.7
Teleop104.6
End18.5
red by 13.8
3566
#32
123.62.1
125.7123.6
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End1.9
Second
2262
#14
117.51.8
115.7117.5
Auto16.2
Teleop92.1
End9.3
blue by 2.4
1768
#22
119.90.1
119.9120.0
Auto16.8
Teleop92.1
End10.7
Third
3719
#36
114.11.5
116.7115.2
Auto14.6
Teleop88.0
End13.3
red by 5.9
1786
#39
108.11.1
109.3108.1
Auto15.7
Teleop88.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed