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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Battle O’ Baltimore
Red278
1629208.3
686130.4
3389124.7
Blue358
4099138.4
2106148.5
2199160.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360293100200400500600278358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#8
208.30.3
210.7→210.4
Auto25.5
Teleop159.2
End21.9
red by 47.4
2199
#16
160.90.6
162.0→161.4
Auto20.8
Teleop125.0
End13.4
Second
686
#2
130.40.5
128.0→128.5
Auto23.7
Teleop97.0
End9.4
blue by 18.1
2106
#13
148.50.2
148.1→148.3
Auto18.2
Teleop113.2
End17.4
Third
3389
#21
124.70.2
126.6→126.4
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End16.2
blue by 13.7
4099
#20
138.40.0
138.3→138.3
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End10.9