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Quarterfinal 3-32018 Battle O’ Baltimore
Red306
1629208.3
686130.4
3389124.7
Blue287
4099138.4
2106148.5
2199160.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354298100200400500600306287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#8
208.30.3
210.4→210.1
Auto25.5
Teleop159.2
End21.9
red by 47.4
2199
#16
160.90.5
161.4→160.9
Auto20.8
Teleop125.0
End13.4
Second
686
#2
130.40.4
128.5→129.0
Auto23.7
Teleop97.0
End9.4
blue by 18.1
2106
#13
148.50.2
148.3→148.5
Auto18.2
Teleop113.2
End17.4
Third
3389
#21
124.70.3
126.4→126.1
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End16.2
blue by 13.7
4099
#20
138.40.0
138.3→138.4
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End10.9