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Red300
384178.4
2534150.5
5945164.6
Blue177
4505126.6
3941140.9
2537163.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395302100200500600300177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#3
178.40.1
183.0182.9
Auto20.0
Teleop137.2
End20.4
red by 14.5
2537
#12
163.90.0
167.8167.7
Auto22.0
Teleop120.9
End22.4
Second
5945
#14
164.60.3
170.1169.8
Auto18.9
Teleop121.3
End20.6
red by 23.7
3941
#10
140.90.1
141.6141.6
Auto15.5
Teleop110.0
End12.5
Third
150.50.5
156.4155.9
Auto19.0
Teleop115.2
End15.2
red by 23.9
4505
#25
126.60.3
134.4134.1
Auto15.7
Teleop100.5
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed