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Red256
1629208.3
4050144.3
3389124.7
Blue449
225229.0
2912110.8
686130.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353284100200400500600700256449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.30.3
215.3215.6
Auto25.5
Teleop159.2
End21.9
blue by 20.7
225
#1
229.00.5
216.7217.2
Auto24.7
Teleop174.0
End34.2
Second
4050
#15
144.30.8
144.6145.4
Auto18.1
Teleop103.0
End18.9
red by 14.0
686
#2
130.41.6
118.7120.3
Auto23.7
Teleop97.0
End9.4
Third
3389
#21
124.71.6
134.6133.0
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End16.2
red by 13.9
2912
#19
110.80.9
109.0108.0
Auto14.6
Teleop82.3
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed