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Red379
2534150.5
5830115.0
5115127.7
Blue179
6239120.8
5945164.6
171994.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333280100200400500379179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.51.3
155.9154.7
Auto19.0
Teleop115.2
End15.2
blue by 14.1
5945
#14
164.61.1
169.8168.7
Auto18.9
Teleop121.3
End20.6
Second
5115
#23
127.71.5
133.2131.7
Auto18.4
Teleop94.7
End13.4
red by 6.8
6239
#18
120.80.2
121.9121.7
Auto14.4
Teleop85.8
End20.6
Third
115.01.0
112.9113.9
Auto14.1
Teleop94.0
End6.1
red by 20.9
1719
#26
94.11.3
98.697.3
Auto13.9
Teleop73.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed