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Red290
2539148.5
2537163.9
888173.3
Blue340
4099138.4
614156.7
2912110.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3892570100200300500600290340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#11
173.30.9
176.9176.0
Auto18.4
Teleop125.9
End26.1
red by 16.6
614
#9
156.70.6
155.9155.2
Auto19.8
Teleop122.4
End14.6
Second
2537
#12
163.91.1
167.7166.6
Auto22.0
Teleop120.9
End22.4
red by 25.5
4099
#20
138.40.0
137.2137.2
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End10.9
Third
148.50.3
146.5146.1
Auto18.5
Teleop106.8
End26.7
red by 37.7
2912
#19
110.80.5
108.0108.5
Auto14.6
Teleop82.3
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed