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Red516
2377170.7
3941140.9
225229.0
Blue86
5724144.9
1629208.3
2914115.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40527910020050060070051686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
229.01.7
217.2219.0
Auto24.7
Teleop174.0
End34.2
red by 20.7
208.30.9
215.6214.7
Auto25.5
Teleop159.2
End21.9
Second
170.70.6
167.4168.0
Auto20.0
Teleop121.5
End29.9
red by 25.8
5724
#22
144.91.2
152.0150.9
Auto17.5
Teleop106.6
End19.6
Third
3941
#10
140.91.0
141.6140.7
Auto15.5
Teleop110.0
End12.5
red by 25.8
2914
#27
115.10.3
119.1118.8
Auto14.6
Teleop90.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed