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Red130
4505126.6
2199160.9
5115127.7
Blue430
2849123.7
4050144.3
999997.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3552560100200300400500130430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#16
160.90.4
167.0166.5
Auto20.8
Teleop125.0
End13.4
red by 16.6
4050
#15
144.30.4
145.4145.0
Auto18.1
Teleop103.0
End18.9
Second
5115
#23
127.71.5
131.7130.2
Auto18.4
Teleop94.7
End13.4
red by 3.9
2849
#28
123.72.3
129.0126.7
Auto17.9
Teleop96.7
End5.9
Third
4505
#25
126.61.2
134.1132.9
Auto15.7
Teleop100.5
End10.3
red by 28.9
9999
#24
97.60.3
96.195.8
Auto10.6
Teleop77.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed