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Red180
686130.4
171994.1
2534150.5
Blue342
2106148.5
2377170.7
5724144.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403990100200300500600700180342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.51.3
154.7153.4
Auto19.0
Teleop115.2
End15.2
blue by 20.2
170.71.5
168.0169.4
Auto20.0
Teleop121.5
End29.9
Second
686
#2
130.42.9
122.8125.7
Auto23.7
Teleop97.0
End9.4
blue by 18.1
2106
#13
148.50.2
147.3147.5
Auto18.2
Teleop113.2
End17.4
Third
1719
#26
94.11.5
97.395.8
Auto13.9
Teleop73.7
End6.5
blue by 50.8
5724
#22
144.92.4
150.9148.4
Auto17.5
Teleop106.6
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed30%Face the Boss oddsMissed