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Red468
225229.0
2539148.5
3389124.7
Blue259
5830115.0
888173.3
5945164.6
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3892680100200300500600700468259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
229.02.4
219.0221.3
Auto24.7
Teleop174.0
End34.2
red by 55.7
888
#11
173.31.1
176.0175.0
Auto18.4
Teleop125.9
End26.1
Second
148.50.6
146.1145.6
Auto18.5
Teleop106.8
End26.7
blue by 16.1
5945
#14
164.61.4
168.7167.2
Auto18.9
Teleop121.3
End20.6
Third
3389
#21
124.72.6
130.7128.1
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End16.2
red by 9.7
115.00.5
113.9114.4
Auto14.1
Teleop94.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
38%Face the Boss oddsEarned29%Face the Boss oddsMissed