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Qual 222018 Battle O’ Baltimore
Red387
3941140.9
6239120.8
1629208.3
Blue215
4050144.3
4099138.4
4505126.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3872650100200300500600700387215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#8
208.32.3
214.7→212.5
Auto25.5
Teleop159.2
End21.9
red by 64.0
4050
#15
144.30.3
145.0→145.2
Auto18.1
Teleop103.0
End18.9
Second
3941
#10
140.90.2
140.7→140.9
Auto15.5
Teleop110.0
End12.5
red by 2.5
4099
#20
138.40.7
137.2→137.9
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End10.9
Third
6239
#18
120.80.7
121.7→121.0
Auto14.4
Teleop85.8
End20.6
blue by 5.8
4505
#25
126.62.3
132.9→130.5
Auto15.7
Teleop100.5
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed