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Red304
2912110.8
2537163.9
384178.4
Blue157
2914115.1
2199160.9
2849123.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3682420100200300400500304157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#3
178.41.5
181.9180.4
Auto20.0
Teleop137.2
End20.4
red by 17.5
2199
#16
160.91.8
166.5164.7
Auto20.8
Teleop125.0
End13.4
Second
2537
#12
163.91.2
166.6165.4
Auto22.0
Teleop120.9
End22.4
red by 40.1
2849
#28
123.71.3
126.7125.4
Auto17.9
Teleop96.7
End5.9
Third
2912
#19
110.81.1
108.5109.6
Auto14.6
Teleop82.3
End13.9
blue by 4.3
2914
#27
115.11.7
118.8117.1
Auto14.6
Teleop90.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed