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Red300
614156.7
171994.1
2106148.5
Blue150
4242143.9
3941140.9
4050144.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723460100200300400500600300150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#9
156.70.3
155.2155.5
Auto19.8
Teleop122.4
End14.6
red by 12.3
4050
#15
144.30.0
145.2145.2
Auto18.1
Teleop103.0
End18.9
Second
2106
#13
148.50.2
147.5147.8
Auto18.2
Teleop113.2
End17.4
red by 4.6
4242
#17
143.90.1
145.6145.6
Auto18.4
Teleop108.5
End15.7
Third
1719
#26
94.11.7
95.894.1
Auto13.9
Teleop73.7
End6.5
blue by 46.8
3941
#10
140.90.6
140.9141.5
Auto15.5
Teleop110.0
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed