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Red243
6239120.8
4099138.4
2914115.1
Blue393
3389124.7
686130.4
2199160.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513490100200300400500600700800243393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#20
138.40.3
137.9138.2
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End10.9
blue by 22.5
2199
#16
160.92.2
164.7162.5
Auto20.8
Teleop125.0
End13.4
Second
6239
#18
120.80.1
121.0120.9
Auto14.4
Teleop85.8
End20.6
blue by 9.6
686
#2
130.41.8
125.7127.5
Auto23.7
Teleop97.0
End9.4
Third
2914
#27
115.12.0
117.1115.1
Auto14.6
Teleop90.6
End6.3
blue by 9.6
3389
#21
124.71.2
128.1126.9
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed