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Red326
5724144.9
2534150.5
614156.7
Blue124
5115127.7
3389124.7
2912110.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377265100200300500600700326124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#9
156.70.5
157.7157.2
Auto19.8
Teleop122.4
End14.6
red by 29.0
5115
#23
127.70.9
136.1135.2
Auto18.4
Teleop94.7
End13.4
Second
150.50.2
156.6156.4
Auto19.0
Teleop115.2
End15.2
red by 25.8
3389
#21
124.70.9
134.2135.1
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End16.2
Third
5724
#22
144.90.8
151.0151.8
Auto17.5
Teleop106.6
End19.6
red by 34.1
2912
#19
110.80.1
109.9110.0
Auto14.6
Teleop82.3
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed